Where does all the biofuel go? Fuel efficiency gains and its effects on global agricultural production

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Increasing biofuel production over the last decade and policies in Brazil, European Union, United States have changed global agricultural landscape terms of land-use, commodity prices, trade. fuel efficiency electrification vehicle stock is projected to lower gasoline, diesel, demand future. In this analysis, we quantify effects a 30% reduction ethanol consumption U.S. Union triggered by higher fleet on markets. Our results show decreases prices 1.9%–6.6% slight decrease cropland 0.3%. Major changes occur trade patterns with corn exports increasing 30.3%. Global greenhouse gas emissions are due overall cropland. Gasoline diesel not changing rapidly but long-term process because vehicles average operation for 10 or more years. Consequently, there important policy implications from requirements blending limits that affect trade, emissions.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Energy Policy

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1873-6777', '0301-4215']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111909